Copper prices rose on domestic macroeconomic support [SMM copper morning comment]

Published: May 20, 2024 10:05
LME copper prices opened at $10482.5/mt last Friday evening before reaching a low of $10470/mt and a high of $10720/mt, and closed at $10715/mt, a rise of 3.31%. Trading volumes were 33,000 lots and open interest stood at 341,000 lots.

LME copper prices opened at $10482.5/mt last Friday evening before reaching a low of $10470/mt and a high of $10720/mt, and closed at $10715/mt, a rise of 3.31%. Trading volumes were 33,000 lots and open interest stood at 341,000 lots. The most active SHFE 2407 copper contract prices opened at 84530 yuan/mt and finished at 85270 yuan/mt overnight, up 2.38%, with the low-end of 84420 yuan/mt and the high-end of 85430 yuan/mt. Trading volume was 93,000 lots and open interest stood at 229,000 lots. On the macro level, in order to lower the threshold for residents to buy houses, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) issued three notices in a row, canceling the national floor policy on interest rates for commercial personal housing loans for the first and second homes, lowering the interest rate on personal housing provident fund loans by 0.25 percentage points, and adjusting the minimum down payment ratio for commercial personal housing loans for the first home to no less than 15%, and for the second home to no less than 25%. In terms of fundamentals, as copper prices continued to rise, the purchasing demand of processing companies was suppressed and market activity remained low. After the subsequent warehouse receipts are released, the spot supply will be more abundant, and it is expected to continue to impact the premiums and discounts. Due to the influence of macro sentiment, copper prices will move at highs in the near future.

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